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Friday · July 24 · 6:45 pm ✦

YANKEES @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from rf

Final

YANKEES 1
Phillies 0

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 1–0 Yankees

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 43% 57%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 38% 62%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

64–58

52% across 122 games

Phillies this season

78–45

63% across 123 games