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Saturday · July 25 · 6:05 pm ✦

YANKEES @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 81 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph in from rf

Final

YANKEES 3
Phillies 1

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–1 Yankees

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Phillies Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 58% 42% 5–5
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 45% 55% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 55% 45% 4–4
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 46% 54%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 49% 51% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

64–58

52% across 122 games

Phillies this season

78–45

63% across 123 games