Saturday · July 25 · 6:05 pm ✦
YANKEES @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 81 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph in from rf
Final
YANKEES
3
Phillies
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–1 Yankees
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Yankees | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Yankees | 58% | 42% | 5–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Yankees | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Yankees this season
83–76
52% across 159 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games