Monday · July 20 · 7:10 pm ✦
DODGERS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 82 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph out to lf
Final
Dodgers
7
PHILLIES
10
Our Pick
LOS ANGELES DODGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 7–10 Phillies
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Dodgers | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Los Angeles Dodgers | 67% | 33% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Los Angeles Dodgers | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Los Angeles Dodgers | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Los Angeles Dodgers | 53% | 47% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 36% | 64% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Los Angeles Dodgers | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Dodgers this season
76–46
62% across 122 games
Phillies this season
79–45
64% across 124 games