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Tuesday · July 21 · 6:40 pm ✦

DODGERS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 82 degrees, overcast, wind 11 mph out to lf

Final

DODGERS 2
Phillies 1

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–1 Dodgers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 49% 51% 3–4
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 48% 52% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

76–46

62% across 122 games

Phillies this season

79–45

64% across 124 games