Tuesday · July 21 · 6:40 pm ✦
DODGERS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 82 degrees, overcast, wind 11 mph out to lf
Final
DODGERS
2
Phillies
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–1 Dodgers
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Dodgers | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Los Angeles Dodgers | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Dodgers this season
100–58
63% across 158 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games