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Sunday · July 19 ✦

METS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park.

Final

METS 6
Phillies 1

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–1 Mets

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Phillies Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 53% 47% 4–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 62% 36% 4–4
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 41% 59%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 26% 74%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 50% 50% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

69–55

56% across 124 games

Phillies this season

79–45

64% across 124 games