Sunday · July 19 ✦
METS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park.
Final
METS
6
Phillies
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–1 Mets
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 62% | 36% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 26% | 74% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✗ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games