Thursday · July 16 · 7:10 pm ✦
METS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 94 degrees, cloudy, wind 2 mph varies
Final
METS
4
Phillies
1
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 4–1 Mets
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games