Saturday · July 18 · 3:06 PM ✦
METS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 87 degrees, overcast, wind 8 mph out to rf
Final
Mets
1
PHILLIES
6
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 1–6 Phillies
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 51% | 49% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 32% | 68% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games