Thursday · July 2 · 12:35 PM ✦
PIRATES @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 98 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to rf
Final
PIRATES
6
Phillies
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–1 Pirates
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 38% | 62% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 34% | 66% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 43% | 57% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
45–40
53% across 85 games
Phillies this season
55–30
65% across 85 games