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Monday · June 29 · 6:40 pm ✦

PIRATES @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to lf

Final

PIRATES 11
Phillies 7

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 11–7 Pirates

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 49% 51% 4–3
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 46% 54% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

45–40

53% across 85 games

Phillies this season

55–30

65% across 85 games