Monday · June 29 · 6:40 pm ✦
PIRATES @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to lf
Final
PIRATES
11
Phillies
7
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 11–7 Pirates
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 46% | 54% | 3–4 | ✗ |
None of the 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games