Tuesday · June 30 · 6:40 pm ✦
PIRATES @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 89 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph out to cf
Final
Pirates
0
PHILLIES
8
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 0–8 Phillies
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 60% | 40% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 52% | 48% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games