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Saturday · June 20 · 7:15 pm ✦

METS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to rf

Final

Mets 3
PHILLIES 15

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–15 Phillies

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Phillies Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 3–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 51% 49% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 33% 67% 3–4
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 46% 54%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 46% 54% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

49–37

57% across 86 games

Phillies this season

56–30

65% across 86 games