Thursday · June 18 · 6:40 pm ✦
METS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 25 mph out to rf
Final
METS
6
Phillies
4
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–4 Mets
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 36% | 64% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 60% | 40% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 35% | 65% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
49–37
57% across 86 games
Phillies this season
56–30
65% across 86 games