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Thursday · June 18 · 6:40 pm ✦

METS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 25 mph out to rf

Final

METS 6
Phillies 4

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–4 Mets

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 36% 64% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 60% 40% 5–3 ✓
Logistic New York Mets 57% 43% — ✓
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 35% 65% — ✗
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 50% 50% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games