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Sunday · June 21 · 7:20 pm ✦

METS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to rf

Final

Mets 2
PHILLIES 6

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–6 Phillies

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 33% 67% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 45% 55% 3–4
Logistic New York Mets 54% 46%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

49–37

57% across 86 games

Phillies this season

56–30

65% across 86 games