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Wednesday · June 17 · 1:06 PM ✦

MARLINS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to cf

Final

MARLINS 12
Phillies 4

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 12–4 Marlins

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 53% 47% 4–3
Logistic Miami Marlins 53% 47%
Random Forest Miami Marlins 68% 32%
Consensus Miami Marlins 57% 43% 4–3
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

46–40

53% across 86 games

Phillies this season

56–30

65% across 86 games