Tuesday · June 16 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARLINS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 78 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph out to cf
Final
Marlins
2
PHILLIES
8
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–8 Phillies
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
46–40
53% across 86 games
Phillies this season
56–30
65% across 86 games