Monday · June 15 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARLINS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 77 degrees, clear, wind 14 mph l to r
Final
Marlins
0
PHILLIES
7
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 0–7 Phillies
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 50% | 50% | 3–3 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games