← Back to the recap

Saturday · June 6 · 4:07 PM ✦

WHITE SOX @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 91 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 16 mph out to rf

Final

WHITE SOX 6
Phillies 3

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–3 White Sox

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick White Sox Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago White Sox 56% 44% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Chicago White Sox 60% 40% — ✓
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56% — ✗
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 50% 50% 4–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

White Sox this season

81–81

50% across 162 games

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games