Wednesday · June 3 · 6:40 pm ✦
PADRES @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 84 degrees, clear, wind 6 mph in from cf
Final
Padres
2
PHILLIES
3
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–3 Phillies
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 34% | 66% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games