Wednesday · May 20 · 1:06 PM ✦
REDS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 92 degrees, sunny, wind 11 mph out to rf
Final
REDS
9
Phillies
4
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 9–4 Reds
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 26% | 74% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games