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Monday · May 18 · 6:41 PM ✦

REDS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 93 degrees, clear, wind 13 mph out to cf

Final

Reds 4
PHILLIES 5

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 4–5 Phillies

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 33% 67% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 51% 49% 4–5
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60% 3–4
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 52% 48%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 27% 73%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 43% 57% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

30–15

67% across 45 games

Phillies this season

30–15

67% across 45 games