Monday · May 18 · 6:41 PM ✦
REDS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 93 degrees, clear, wind 13 mph out to cf
Final
Reds
4
PHILLIES
5
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 4–5 Phillies
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 33% | 67% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 27% | 73% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 43% | 57% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games