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Friday · May 8 · 6:41 PM ✦

ROCKIES @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 68 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 12 mph out to cf

Final

ROCKIES 9
Phillies 7

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 9–7 Rockies

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rockies Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 4–5 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 38% 62% 4–5 ✗
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 35% 65% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 48% 52% — ✗
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 39% 61% — ✗
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 42% 58% 4–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games