Thursday · May 7 · 6:41 PM ✦
ATHLETICS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 65 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph l to r
Final
ATHLETICS
12
Phillies
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 12–1 Athletics
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Athletics | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Athletics | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Athletics | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Athletics | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Athletics this season
92–64
59% across 156 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games