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Saturday · May 9 · 6:05 pm ✦

ROCKIES @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 67 degrees, cloudy, wind 8 mph out to cf

Final

Rockies 3
PHILLIES 9

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–9 Phillies

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rockies Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 35% 65% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 38% 62% 3–5 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 33% 67% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Colorado Rockies 58% 42% — ✗
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 53% 47% — ✗
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 46% 54% 3–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games