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Tuesday · May 5 · 6:40 pm ✦

ATHLETICS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 20 mph out to lf

Final

Athletics 1
PHILLIES 9

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 1–9 Phillies

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 36% 64% 4–5
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 33% 67% 3–4
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 49% 51%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 33% 67%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

29–17

63% across 46 games

Phillies this season

30–15

67% across 45 games