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Wednesday · May 6 · 6:40 pm ✦

ATHLETICS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to cf

Final

Athletics 3
PHILLIES 6

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, comfortably

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–5 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–6 Phillies

65%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 27% 73% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 33% 67% 4–5
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 33% 67% 3–5
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 45% 55%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 28% 72%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 35% 65% 3–5
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

29–17

63% across 46 games

Phillies this season

30–15

67% across 45 games