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Thursday · April 30 · 12:36 PM ✦

GIANTS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 59 degrees, cloudy, wind 10 mph in from lf

Final

Giants 2
PHILLIES 3

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–3 Phillies

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Phillies Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 39% 61%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 31% 69%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 43% 57% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Phillies this season

31–15

67% across 46 games