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Tuesday · April 28 · 6:41 PM ✦

GIANTS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 60 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to lf

Final

Giants 0
PHILLIES 7

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 0–7 Phillies

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 35% 65% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56% — ✓
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 26% 74% — ✓
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games