Saturday · April 18 ✦
BRAVES @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park.
Final
BRAVES
3
Phillies
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–1 Braves
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
25–22
53% across 47 games
Phillies this season
31–15
67% across 46 games