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Tuesday · April 14 · 6:40 pm ✦

CUBS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to cf

Final

CUBS 10
Phillies 4

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 10–4 Cubs

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 33% 67% 3–5
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 53% 47% 4–3
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 41% 59%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 58% 42%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

21–26

45% across 47 games

Phillies this season

31–15

67% across 46 games