Tuesday · April 14 · 6:40 pm ✦
CUBS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to cf
Final
CUBS
10
Phillies
4
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 10–4 Cubs
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 33% | 67% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 58% | 42% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
21–26
45% across 47 games
Phillies this season
31–15
67% across 46 games