Saturday · April 11 · 1:06 PM ✦
D-BACKS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 62 degrees, sunny, wind 14 mph in from lf
Final
D-backs
3
PHILLIES
4
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, comfortably
✗ WrongProjected: 8–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 3–4 Phillies
65%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Arizona Diamondbacks | 87% | 13% | 8–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 67% | 33% | 7–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 87% | 13% | 8–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 80% | 20% | 8–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 34% | 66% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 65% | 35% | 8–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
28–18
61% across 46 games
Phillies this season
32–15
68% across 47 games