Monday · April 13 ✦
CUBS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park.
Final
Cubs
7
PHILLIES
13
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 7–13 Phillies
60%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 35% | 65% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 31% | 69% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
21–26
45% across 47 games
Phillies this season
31–15
67% across 46 games