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Friday · April 10 · 6:40 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 66 degrees, clear, wind 12 mph in from rf

Final

D-BACKS 5
Phillies 4

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, comfortably

✓ Correct

Projected: 7–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 5–4 D-backs

67%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 73% 27% 6–4
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 82% 18% 6–3
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 85% 15% 7–4
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 62% 38% 7–5
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 50% 50%
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 62% 38%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 67% 33% 7–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

28–18

61% across 46 games

Phillies this season

32–15

68% across 47 games