Wednesday · April 1 · 1:07 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 79 degrees, cloudy, wind 10 mph l to r
Final
Nationals
5
PHILLIES
6
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 5–6 Phillies
63%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 31% | 69% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 36% | 64% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 37% | 63% | 3–4 | ✓ |
All 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
27–21
56% across 48 games
Phillies this season
32–15
68% across 47 games