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Monday · March 30 · 6:40 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 68 degrees, cloudy, wind 16 mph out to cf

Final

NATIONALS 13
Phillies 2

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–5 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 13–2 Nationals

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 33% 67% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 25% 75% 3–5
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 29% 71% 3–5
Logistic Washington Nationals 62% 38%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 42% 58% 3–5
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

27–21

56% across 48 games

Phillies this season

32–15

68% across 47 games