Monday · March 30 · 6:40 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 68 degrees, cloudy, wind 16 mph out to cf
Final
NATIONALS
13
Phillies
2
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–5 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 13–2 Nationals
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 25% | 75% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 29% | 71% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 62% | 38% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 3–5 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
27–21
56% across 48 games
Phillies this season
32–15
68% across 47 games