Tuesday · March 31 · 6:40 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph out to cf
Final
Nationals
2
PHILLIES
3
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–3 Phillies
61%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 27% | 73% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 32% | 68% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 39% | 61% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
27–21
56% across 48 games
Phillies this season
32–15
68% across 47 games