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Sunday · March 29 · 1:35 pm ✦

RANGERS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 53 degrees, sunny, wind 13 mph out to cf

Final

RANGERS 8
Phillies 3

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 8–3 Rangers

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 51% 49% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 33% 67% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 38% 62% 4–5
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 45% 55% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

29–17

63% across 46 games

Phillies this season

32–15

68% across 47 games