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Friday · September 25 ✦

ORIOLES @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium.

Final

Orioles 3
YANKEES 6

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 3–6 Yankees

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 67% 33% 5–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 47% 53% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 64% 36% 5–3 ✗
Logistic New York Yankees 39% 61% — ✓
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 52% 48% — ✗
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 50% 50% 4–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games