Wednesday · September 23 · 7:05 pm ✦
RAYS @ YANKEES
Yankee Stadium. · 63 degrees, cloudy, wind 15 mph in from lf
Final
Rays
2
YANKEES
9
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 2–9 Yankees
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Yankees | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Yankees | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Yankees | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Yankees this season
83–76
52% across 159 games