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Thursday · September 24 · 7:05 pm ✦

RAYS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 64 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph in from lf

Final

Rays 4
YANKEES 6

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–6 Yankees

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 53% 47% — ✗
Random Forest New York Yankees 32% 68% — ✓
Consensus New York Yankees 46% 54% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games