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Saturday · September 12 · 1:38 PM ✦

METS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 78 degrees, cloudy, wind 10 mph out to lf

Final

METS 12
Yankees 2

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 12–2 Mets

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 40% 60% 3–3 ✗
Logistic New York Yankees 46% 54% — ✗
Random Forest New York Yankees 28% 72% — ✗
Consensus New York Yankees 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games