← Back to the recap

Sunday · August 30 · 1:39 PM ✦

RED SOX @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 77 degrees, cloudy, wind 10 mph out to lf

Final

Red Sox 1
YANKEES 16

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 1–16 Yankees

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Yankees Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 44% 56% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 33% 67% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Boston Red Sox 55% 45% — ✗
Random Forest New York Yankees 40% 60% — ✓
Consensus New York Yankees 46% 54% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games