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Thursday · August 27 ✦

ASTROS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium.

Final

ASTROS 5
Yankees 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 5–1 Astros

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Yankees Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 51% 49% 4–5 ✓
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 55% 45% 5–5 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 31% 69% 3–5 ✗
Logistic New York Yankees 36% 64% — ✗
Random Forest New York Yankees 43% 57% — ✗
Consensus New York Yankees 46% 54% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games