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Saturday · August 22 · 1:38 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 74 degrees, cloudy, wind 6 mph in from lf

Final

BLUE JAYS 4
Yankees 3

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 4–3 Blue Jays

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Yankees Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 49% 51% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 49% 51% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Logistic New York Yankees 44% 56% — ✗
Random Forest New York Yankees 46% 54% — ✗
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 50% 50% 4–3 ✓
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games