Back to the recap

Saturday · August 8 · 3:08 PM ✦

BRAVES @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 89 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to rf

Final

Braves 4
YANKEES 5

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 4–5 Yankees

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Yankees Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 51% 49% 5–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 55% 45% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 58% 42% 5–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 45% 55% 4–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 52% 48%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 51% 49%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 52% 48% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

63–61

51% across 124 games

Yankees this season

64–58

52% across 122 games