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Wednesday · August 5 · 7:05 pm ✦

CARDINALS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph r to l

Final

CARDINALS 3
Yankees 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, comfortably

✗ Wrong

Projected: 2–6 New York Yankees · Actual: 3–1 Cardinals

73%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 15% 85% 3–6
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 18% 82% 2–5
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 5% 95% 2–6
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 18% 82% 2–6
Logistic New York Yankees 48% 52%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 59% 41%
Consensus New York Yankees 27% 73% 2–6
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

69–55

56% across 124 games

Yankees this season

64–58

52% across 122 games