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Wednesday · July 22 · 1:08 PM ✦

PIRATES @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph out to cf

Final

PIRATES 5
Yankees 3

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–3 Pirates

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Yankees Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 55% 45% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 56% 44% 4–4
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 50% 50%
Random Forest New York Yankees 40% 60%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 55% 45% 4–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

69–56

55% across 125 games

Yankees this season

65–58

53% across 123 games