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Monday · August 3 · 7:05 pm ✦

CARDINALS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 81 degrees, cloudy, wind 8 mph out to cf

Final

CARDINALS 13
Yankees 7

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 13–7 Cardinals

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 36% 64% 2–4
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 36% 64% 3–5
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 36% 64% 3–4
Logistic New York Yankees 44% 56%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 63% 37%
Consensus New York Yankees 42% 58% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

69–55

56% across 124 games

Yankees this season

64–58

52% across 122 games