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Monday · July 20 · 7:05 pm ✦

PIRATES @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 81 degrees, clear, wind 9 mph r to l

Final

Pirates 5
YANKEES 8

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 5–8 Yankees

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 40% 60% 4–4
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 60% 40% 4–4
Logistic New York Yankees 44% 56%
Random Forest New York Yankees 45% 55%
Consensus New York Yankees 46% 54% 4–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

69–56

55% across 125 games

Yankees this season

65–58

53% across 123 games