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Sunday · July 5 · 1:37 PM ✦

TWINS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 77 degrees, overcast, wind 6 mph in from lf

Final

TWINS 6
Yankees 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 6–1 Twins

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 44% 56% 2–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 38% 62% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 38% 62% 3–3
Logistic Minnesota Twins 51% 49%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 58% 42%
Consensus New York Yankees 46% 54% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

48–37

56% across 85 games

Yankees this season

44–41

52% across 85 games