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Saturday · July 4 · 1:39 PM ✦

TWINS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 95 degrees, sunny, wind 10 mph out to rf

Final

TWINS 11
Yankees 4

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 11–4 Twins

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 29% 71% 3–5 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 53% 47% 5–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Minnesota Twins 51% 49% — ✓
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 61% 39% — ✓
Consensus New York Yankees 46% 54% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games