Back to the recap

Saturday · July 4 · 1:39 PM ✦

TWINS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 95 degrees, sunny, wind 10 mph out to rf

Final

TWINS 11
Yankees 4

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 11–4 Twins

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 29% 71% 3–5
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 53% 47% 5–4
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 44% 56% 4–4
Logistic Minnesota Twins 51% 49%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 61% 39%
Consensus New York Yankees 46% 54% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

48–37

56% across 85 games

Yankees this season

44–41

52% across 85 games